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While national polls suggest the presidential race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney is a dead heat, it is the candidate who attains 270 electoral votes that will carry the keys to the White House. Adding up delegates from the states both candidates are expected to win, Obama has 237 electoral votes locked up in his column (including Michigan and Pennsylvania, the latter of which some Republicans feel is in play), while Romney has 191 in the GOP ledger.
Obama’s path to 270 lends itself to more flexibility in terms of electoral math. Romney is in a precarious situation where one or two losses in delegate-rich swing states could turn out the lights on his presidential bid. Here is a look at 10 battleground states and how each could unlock a path to that magic number for the former Massachusetts governor.
The presidential election is only days away, and President Barack Obama is gaining an edge over his Republican opponent Mitt Romney.
On statician Nate Silver’s Five Thirty Eight blog, Obama holds an 80.9 percent chance of winning the election. Silver’s poll analysis shows a steady growth in support for the president since the middle of October.
A collection of new polling on swing states shows Obama with an advantage. Of the 14 polls, Obama has a lead in 12 and is tied with Romney in just two.
In the last week Obama gained new support. Aside from newspapers such as The New York Times, Obama picked up endorsements from New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg as well as praise from New Jersey Governor Chris Christie for his handling of disaster relief in the northeast following Hurricane Sandy.
(Flickr Creative Commons)
The election is almost here and this late in the game, the swing states are what matter.
Ohio is one of the most important swing states even though it does not have the most electoral votes. No Republican Presidential candidate in recent history has won the election without winning Ohio and Obama carried Ohio in 2008.
Quinnipiac University, the New York Times, and CBS released a new poll on Wednesday that has Obama ahead of Romney by five points, 50 percent to 45 percent. The poll’s results contain information from October 23 to October 28.
The question the poll posed likely voters is, “As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney?” When Quinnipiac University and CBS asked the same question to likely voters between October 17 and October 20, 50 percent said Obama and 45 percent said Romney.
Mitt Romney gave his first post-hurricane speech in Florida, trading his usual anti-Obama remarks for a more uplifting and positive tone, according to ABC News.
While Obama headed to New Jersey for a tour with Gov. Chris Christie, Romney focused on hopeful thoughts for storm-ridden East Coasters and lightened his aggressive election tone.
He began his speech by encouraging Red Cross donations for storm relief efforts.
“We come together in times like this and we want to make sure that [those affected] have a speedy and quick recovery from their financial and in many cases, personal loss,” he said.
Sandy’s Presence is Heavily Noted
What is now Tropical Storm Sandy made landfall on Monday and her presence had large impacts throughout the country.
The President, who normally travels without interruptions, even changed his schedule for the, “super storm.” Instead of spending additional time in Florida on Monday, the President decided to head back to Washington ahead of schedule, so he could monitor the storm’s developments and lead the government during this time of national crisis.
Vice President Biden also changed his campaign schedule, so he could fill in for the President and avoid the storm. The President and the campaign wanted to make sure local responders on the East Coast could be there for residents rather than for Presidential travel.
Governor Romney changed his schedule as well.
Members of various government agencies, including FEMA and the National Hurricane Center, briefed Obama. Obama declared emergencies in multiple states on the East Coast, including Delaware, Maryland, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and New Jersey, among others. This allows the federal government to step in and provide assistance and allows them to cover some of the cost.
Parts of New York and most of Atlantic City are under water at the time of filing; residents from Delaware to Maryland are being encouraged to listen to local officials and do what they are told. More wind and rain are expected to pound the area. The New York Stock Exchange was closed on Monday and will be closed on Tuesday too; Hurricane Sandy caused both of the closures. This is the fist time since 1888 that the NYSE has closed two days due to weather. The bond market was also closed on Monday and, in addition, will be closed Tuesday.
Many residents in the impacted area are without power. Utility crews from the mid-west are on their way to help restore power. Oil refineries throughout the effected area had to close or reduce capacity and there have been mixed reports as to whether this will raise gas prices in California.
Stay tuned to Neon Tommy for the latest developments on Tropical Storm Sandy.
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